Oxford Economics Africa

Join us on 𝟭𝟳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 for our webinar - 𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻! In this webinar, we discuss how the ANC, in power since 1994, is set to lose its legislative majority in the May 29 general election, and democratic South Africa will have its first coalition government at the national level. - 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗮 𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗶𝘀𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗯𝘆 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘀𝗺𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀? - 𝗢𝗿 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗶𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗹𝗲𝗳𝘁𝗶𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝗙𝗙 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗔? 𝗔𝗻𝗱 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗱𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗵𝗼𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆? This webinar sets out the 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀, 𝗺𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲𝘀, and 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹-𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗲𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘀 under each of these three scenarios and a fourth one, in which the 𝗗𝗔’𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗮 𝗺𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘁𝘆. 𝗥𝗘𝗚𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗘𝗥 𝗡𝗢𝗪: https://okt.to/hPD4WH #ANC #EFF #DA #elections #SouthAfrica #politics

𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮'𝘀 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗧𝘄𝗼! 🎥 Watch our new video update on the 𝟮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮'𝘀 upcoming election on 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟵𝘁𝗵. And discover how African National Congress (ANC) wins only 40% of the vote and makes a coalition deal with the radical leftists of the EFF. Don't miss out – click the link to watch the full video: https://okt.to/O3CdIt Please don't forget to 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘, 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧 and 𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗥𝗘! #SouthAfrica #elections #politics #ANC #EFF

Check out our second scenario for South Africa’s general election. This time, the ANC secures 40% of the votes and forms a coalition with the radical leftists of the EFF. Explore the full report for detailed insights: https://okt.to/r32nO4 #elections #SouthAfrica #politics #ANC #governmentparties #EFF

𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮'𝘀 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗢𝗻𝗲! 🎥 Our latest video briefing dives into the 𝟭𝘀𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 for South Africa's upcoming general election on 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟵𝘁𝗵. Watch now to discover how the African National Congress (ANC) faces a historic shift, potentially losing its majority for the first time since 1994. Don't miss out – click the link to watch the full video: https://okt.to/COMql3 Please don't forget to 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘, 𝗖𝗢𝗠𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧 and 𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗥𝗘! #SouthAfrica #elections #politics

Read our latest report outlining potential outcomes for the upcoming general election in South Africa on May 29. In this scenario, the ANC secures over 46% of the vote share nationally, forming a government by collaborating with small, constituency-based parties. Explore the full report for detailed insights: https://okt.to/6RnQEL #elections #SouthAfrica #politics #ANC #governmentparties

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📌𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗘𝗴𝗴-𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰𝘀 🥥Cocoa is the hottest commodity to date in 2024, with spot prices surging by more than 52% over the first two-and-a-half months of the year. Moreover, spot prices for cocoa are over 157% higher now than at the same time in 2023. Most of the upward price pressures are stemming from the supply side, although demand for the soft commodity has also rebounded from its pandemic-induced lows. 🔗𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲: https://okt.to/ew7ljg International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) #easter #cocoa #commodityprices

The first round of #Senegal's presidential #election will take place on 𝗦𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆, 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝟮𝟰. The race is unpredictable, given the dramatic backdrop to it. In this Research Briefing, we set out the main dynamics relating to the election and refresh our #political scenarios. To read the complete report, click here: https://okt.to/mE6ejr #Senegal #elections #africa #politics

Africa's mineral riches are central to its history. However, the race to combat climate change has reignited interest in the continent given its vast deposits of critical minerals. #Southern #Africa, in particular, has received much attention with the development of several key #transport corridors with the almost explicit purpose of scaling up the availability of these #minerals on #international #markets. We set out to investigate the economic potential of the region in terms of its critical minerals while taking into consideration what the establishment of these corridors means for the regional #economy. Download the full report here: https://okt.to/urD53N

Turning to political developments, the likelihood of coups d’état in #Cameroon and #Tunisia is the highest in decades this year. #Tunisian President Kaïs Saïed is becoming ever more unpopular and isolated, and a soft coup could very well push him out of power before the December 2024 #elections. In turn, an increasingly frail President Paul Biya is creating scope for the military to grab power in Cameroon. By contrast, we expect South Africa’s #ANC to remain in power with support from smaller parties, with no need to court the main opposition. For the full report click here: https://okt.to/AHYoLq